Large time and small noise asymptotic results for mean reverting diffusion processes with applications?

نویسندگان

  • Jeffrey Callen
  • Suresh Govindaraj
  • Lin Xu
چکیده

We use the theory of large deviations to investigate the large time behavior and the small noise asymptotics of random economic processes whose evolutions are governed by mean-reverting stochastic differential equations with (i) constant and (ii) state dependent noise terms. We explicitly show that the probability is exponentially small that the time averages of these process will occupy regions distinct from their stable equilibrium position. We also demonstrate that as the noise parameter decreases, there is an exponential convergence to the stable position. Applications of large deviation techniques and public policy implications of our results for regulators are explored.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Matched asymptotic expansions in financial engineering

Modern financial practice depends heavily on mathematics and a correspondingly large theory has grown up to meet this demand. This paper focuses on the use of matched asymptotic expansions in option pricing; it presents illustrations of the approach in ‘plain vanilla’ option valuation, in valuation using a fast mean-reverting-stochastic volatility model, and in a model for illiquid markets. A t...

متن کامل

Large-time and small-ball asymptotics for quadratic functionals of Gaussian diffusions

Using asymptotic analysis of the Laplace transform, we establish almost sure divergence of certain integrals and derive logarithmic asymptotic of small ball probabilities for quadratic forms of Gaussian diffusion processes. The large time behavior of the quadratic forms exhibits little dependence on the drift and diffusion matrices or the initial conditions, and, if the noise driving the equati...

متن کامل

Filtering for fast mean-reverting processes

We consider nonlinear filtering applications to target tracking based on a vector of multi-scaled models where some of the processes are rapidly mean reverting to their local equilibria. We focus attention on target tracking problems because multiple scaled models with fast mean-reversion (FMR) are a simple way to model latency in the response of tracking systems. The main results of this paper...

متن کامل

Computing hitting time densities for CIR and OU diffusions: applications to mean- reverting models

This paper provides explicit analytical characterizations for first hitting time densities for Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR) and Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) diffusions in terms of relevant Sturm–Liouville eigenfunction expansions. Starting with Vasicek (1977) and Cox, Ingersoll and Ross (1985), the Gaussian Ornstein– Uhlenbeck and Feller’s (1951) square-root diffusions are among the most commonly used s...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2000